TMF

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TMF) | Rumor.io

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares

TMF

Attention (50-day avg)0.04%

Attention rank (50-day avg)#213

Bullish sentiment (50-day avg)57%

Price to earnings ratio0

Net assets0

Expense ratio0.01%

Social

What share of all ETF conversation is about TMF?

	1 Day1D	1 Week1W	1 Month1M	1 Year1Y	50-Day MAclick to plot	200-Day MAclick to plot
Attention	0.26% +0.17	0.06% +0.03	0.03% -0.01	0.97% +0.95

Sep 29

The risk-reward ratio for TMF is looking good, with a potential downside of -25% and an upside of making "way more" if rates reverse.
The Fed may move in if TMF reaches 6%, which could lead to a deflationary crash in the stock market, real estate, and government spending.
TMF's long duration and high expense ratio make it a bad product, but it could also go vertical when macro conditions change.

Generated by AI

Sentiment

Of the messages about TMF that take a side, what share is each?

	1 Day1D	1 Week1W	1 Month1M	1 Year1Y	50-Day MAclick to plot	200-Day MAclick to plot
Bullish	52.35% +18.35	46.12% +38.75	28.62% -48.09	51.93% +4.28
Bearish	47.65% -18.35	53.88% -38.75	71.38% +48.09	48.07% -4.28

Bullish· Sep 29

The price of TMF is currently at $26, presenting a potentially favorable risk-reward ratio for investors.
Many users believe that TMF has the potential to increase significantly when macroeconomic conditions change, although they acknowledge that there are more predictable ways to make money.
The Federal Reserve's rate-hiking cycle is expected to continue until 2029, which could lead to increased food prices and, in turn, potentially drive up the price of TMF.

Bearish· Sep 29

TMF's long duration makes it vulnerable to significant losses, potentially up to 25%, if interest rates rise.
A sharp increase in interest rates could lead to a crash in the stock market, real estate market, and potentially even a deflationary spiral.
TMF's price action is weak, with every bounce being met by overwhelming selling, suggesting that the asset may be dead and buried, with yields potentially skyrocketing to 10%.

Generated by AI

Topics

Of the messages about TMF that carry a topic, what share is each?

	1 Day1D	1 Week1W	1 Month1M	1 Year1Y	50-Day MAclick to plot	200-Day MAclick to plot
Technical Analysis	24.27%	41.99%	47.18%	42.34%
Macro	75.73%	58.01%	52.82%	57.66%

Macro· Sep 29

If the 10-year rate reaches 6% and the 20/30-year rate reaches 7%, bonds, including TMF, could see significant losses, potentially leading to a deflationary economy, stock market crash, and real estate market crash.
TMF's 50-year duration makes it vulnerable to a significant decline if interest rates rise, but could also benefit if rates reverse and decrease, potentially leading to higher returns.
A new administration could lead to a recovery in bonds, but the current administration's policies and the Federal Reserve's actions are causing concern, with some predicting a prolonged rate-hiking cycle and high inflation.

Technical Analysis· Sep 29

The 20-year Treasury bond ($TLT) is expected to rise to $75 if interest rates reach 6% for 10-year and 7% for 20/30-year bonds, potentially causing $TMF to move into the 60s.
A new administration is necessary for bonds to recover, as the current administration is seen as untrustworthy by bond vigilantes, leading to continued pain for $TMF.
The Federal Reserve's decision to hike interest rates may lead to further losses for $TMF, with some expecting a 15% yield for $TLT and a potential US government default.

Generated by AI

Community

Of the messages about TMF, what share comes from each group?

	1 Day1D	1 Week1W	1 Month1M	1 Year1Y	50-Day MAclick to plot	200-Day MAclick to plot
Regulars	69.38%	67.25%	68.71%	0.4%
Newcomers	30.63%	32.75%	31.29%	99.6%

Regulars· Sep 29

The regulars are discussing the potential for TMF to rise significantly if interest rates continue to increase, with some arguing that it could be a good investment opportunity despite its high expense ratio and leverage decay.
The Federal Reserve's potential to intervene in the market if rates reach 6% is a point of contention, with some arguing that it could lead to drastic cuts and a crash in the stock and real estate markets.
The regulars are also discussing the potential for TMF to go "vertical" when macro conditions change, with some arguing that it could be a good investment opportunity despite its high risk and potential for significant losses.

Newcomers· Sep 29

Newcomers are considering TMF as a potential investment, with one user wondering if it's a suitable alternative to the NAIL ETF, given the current market conditions.
The high mortgage rates are impacting home builders, and some users are looking at TMF as a way to capitalize on this trend.
One user is highlighting the potential of TMF as a "play" that can be run on a regular basis, with a focus on the "ritual" of trading and the potential for "Postage" (a tip or reward).

Generated by AI

Also Discussed

Investors talking about TMF also mention

#	Name	Attention
1	iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLT	2.94%+0.76
2	ProShares UltraPro S&P500UPRO	0.14%+0.12
3	Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X SharesTMV	0%new
4	PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded FundZROZ	0.29%+0.22
5	Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETFEDV	0.03%-0.06
6	Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X SharesTYD	0%new
7	Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x SharesTECL	0.04%-0.01
8	ProShares Ultra QQQQLD	0.03%-0.16
9	ProShares UltraPro QQQTQQQ	0.15%-0.49
10	Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X SharesSPXL	0.03%+0.01

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares is a leveraged exchange-traded fund that provides amplified exposure to long-term U.S. Treasury bonds. The fund seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, equal to 300% of the performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, which consists of U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities greater than 20 years. To achieve this, it uses a synthetic replication approach, combining derivatives such as swaps and futures with cash and high-quality collateral rather than holding only physical bonds. Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares is structured as an open-ended investment company and is managed passively to target its benchmark’s daily returns. Today, it serves market participants who require magnified, short-term exposure to interest rate movements in the long end of the U.S. Treasury curve, making it a specialized tool for tactical trading, hedging, and portfolio tilts within the fixed income segment. The fund is domiciled in the United States and is offered by Direxion through Rafferty Asset Management LLC as advisor.

Location

United States

Social

What share of all ETF conversation is about TMF?

	1 Day1D	1 Week1W	1 Month1M	1 Year1Y	50-Day MAclick to plot	200-Day MAclick to plot
Attention	0.26% +0.17	0.06% +0.03	0.03% -0.01	0.97% +0.95

Sep 29

The risk-reward ratio for TMF is looking good, with a potential downside of -25% and an upside of making "way more" if rates reverse.
The Fed may move in if TMF reaches 6%, which could lead to a deflationary crash in the stock market, real estate, and government spending.
TMF's long duration and high expense ratio make it a bad product, but it could also go vertical when macro conditions change.

Generated by AI

Sentiment

Of the messages about TMF that take a side, what share is each?

	1 Day1D	1 Week1W	1 Month1M	1 Year1Y	50-Day MAclick to plot	200-Day MAclick to plot
Bullish	52.35% +18.35	46.12% +38.75	28.62% -48.09	51.93% +4.28
Bearish	47.65% -18.35	53.88% -38.75	71.38% +48.09	48.07% -4.28

Bullish· Sep 29

The price of TMF is currently at $26, presenting a potentially favorable risk-reward ratio for investors.
Many users believe that TMF has the potential to increase significantly when macroeconomic conditions change, although they acknowledge that there are more predictable ways to make money.
The Federal Reserve's rate-hiking cycle is expected to continue until 2029, which could lead to increased food prices and, in turn, potentially drive up the price of TMF.

Bearish· Sep 29

TMF's long duration makes it vulnerable to significant losses, potentially up to 25%, if interest rates rise.
A sharp increase in interest rates could lead to a crash in the stock market, real estate market, and potentially even a deflationary spiral.
TMF's price action is weak, with every bounce being met by overwhelming selling, suggesting that the asset may be dead and buried, with yields potentially skyrocketing to 10%.

Generated by AI

Topics

Of the messages about TMF that carry a topic, what share is each?

	1 Day1D	1 Week1W	1 Month1M	1 Year1Y	50-Day MAclick to plot	200-Day MAclick to plot
Technical Analysis	24.27%	41.99%	47.18%	42.34%
Macro	75.73%	58.01%	52.82%	57.66%

Macro· Sep 29

If the 10-year rate reaches 6% and the 20/30-year rate reaches 7%, bonds, including TMF, could see significant losses, potentially leading to a deflationary economy, stock market crash, and real estate market crash.
TMF's 50-year duration makes it vulnerable to a significant decline if interest rates rise, but could also benefit if rates reverse and decrease, potentially leading to higher returns.
A new administration could lead to a recovery in bonds, but the current administration's policies and the Federal Reserve's actions are causing concern, with some predicting a prolonged rate-hiking cycle and high inflation.

Technical Analysis· Sep 29

The 20-year Treasury bond ($TLT) is expected to rise to $75 if interest rates reach 6% for 10-year and 7% for 20/30-year bonds, potentially causing $TMF to move into the 60s.
A new administration is necessary for bonds to recover, as the current administration is seen as untrustworthy by bond vigilantes, leading to continued pain for $TMF.
The Federal Reserve's decision to hike interest rates may lead to further losses for $TMF, with some expecting a 15% yield for $TLT and a potential US government default.

Generated by AI

Community

Of the messages about TMF, what share comes from each group?

	1 Day1D	1 Week1W	1 Month1M	1 Year1Y	50-Day MAclick to plot	200-Day MAclick to plot
Regulars	69.38%	67.25%	68.71%	0.4%
Newcomers	30.63%	32.75%	31.29%	99.6%

Regulars· Sep 29

The regulars are discussing the potential for TMF to rise significantly if interest rates continue to increase, with some arguing that it could be a good investment opportunity despite its high expense ratio and leverage decay.
The Federal Reserve's potential to intervene in the market if rates reach 6% is a point of contention, with some arguing that it could lead to drastic cuts and a crash in the stock and real estate markets.
The regulars are also discussing the potential for TMF to go "vertical" when macro conditions change, with some arguing that it could be a good investment opportunity despite its high risk and potential for significant losses.

Newcomers· Sep 29

Newcomers are considering TMF as a potential investment, with one user wondering if it's a suitable alternative to the NAIL ETF, given the current market conditions.
The high mortgage rates are impacting home builders, and some users are looking at TMF as a way to capitalize on this trend.
One user is highlighting the potential of TMF as a "play" that can be run on a regular basis, with a focus on the "ritual" of trading and the potential for "Postage" (a tip or reward).

Generated by AI

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares

Social

Sep 29

Sentiment

Bullish· Sep 29

Bearish· Sep 29

Topics

Macro· Sep 29

Technical Analysis· Sep 29

Community

Regulars· Sep 29

Newcomers· Sep 29

Also Discussed

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares

Company Information

Location

Also Discussed

Social

Sep 29

Sentiment

Bullish· Sep 29

Bearish· Sep 29

Topics

Macro· Sep 29

Technical Analysis· Sep 29

Community

Regulars· Sep 29

Newcomers· Sep 29